Quit trying to change the subject and muddy the fowl waters! iPad have to BE iPads, Kindles have to BE Kindles, Sonys=Sonys, and nooks have to be nooks. . .not virtual. . .not clones. April 21, 2013 you say there will be more iPads than the rest. Period! On Wed, 21 Apr 2010, Bowerbird@aol.com wrote:

michael said:

...

   You are really willing to bet that on April 21, 2013 there    will be more iPads than Kindles plus Sonys plus nooks. . . .

well, every ipad and iphone and ipodtouch can run the kindle software, as can a slew of phones, even today, so all of those machines can act as "virtual kindles"...

but in terms of dedicated kindle machines, you betcha.

...

   Say it in print for the folks, and    I'll start practicing turducken recipes. . . .

well, if you're even willing to take such a stupendous bet, it means you're gonna rewrite the terms of engagement, but i'll go for it anyway, to see how you're gonna do that.        :+)

This was your original prediction, as far as I can make out. As listed above, and I'm not even counting the dozen other brands. . .at least for now.

***

while i've got the crystal ball out, might as well use it...

You mean making it a "loss leader" like Sony Playstations???

indeed, they'll have a "subscription" offer that will actually make the kindle _free_ if you agree to buy so many books.

A virtual "Book of the Month Club"???

they will also offer an "all-you-can-eat" option that will attempt to do for books what "netflix" has done for films.

Now THAT would be cute. . .but like Netflix, I presume your plan would mean you don't get to OWN the books. . .??? Cute. . .you should try to sell them that promotion and save these notes for "prior art"!!! I want 10% !!! Hee hee!

similarly, they'll offer the kindle to school-districts with a _guarantee_ that their overall textbook-costs will drop, and increasingly-cash-starved schools will jump at that.

You mean like, let's see, who was it. . .APPLE used to do!?!?!?

all of these initiatives -- and more!  -- will ensure that lots and lots and lots and lots of kindle units are moved.

but it _still_ won't compare with the ipad juggernaut... (not even in quantity, and especially not in profitability.)

why not?  because amazon can't do software like apple. so they will always be three-and-a-half-steps behind...

Good. . .then it's still a bet, and we are on for: APRIL 21, 2013 iPad has to have over 50% of the grand total. . . . We'll have to wait to see if any of the others take more than a few percentage points of the market. I'm sure SOMEONE will try, perhaps even Microsoft, but I don't think they will get enough out there to matter.

-bowerbird