Carlo Traverso <traverso@dm.unipi.it> writes
"Wallace" == Wallace J McLean <ag737@freenet.carleton.ca> writes:
Wallace> Qu'est-ce que vous ne comprenez pas? Serbian copyright Wallace> law is, right now, life+50, but are they under political Wallace> pressure (internal or external) to "harmonize"? If they Wallace> eventually join the EU, presumably they will be forced to Wallace> "harmonize" to life+70, so how close are they to EU Wallace> membership, realistically?
I think that Serbia joining EU will be in the far future. There are no discussions currently, next joining states will be Bulgaria and Romania in few years, Turkey is under discussion for within 14 years, former Yougoslavia states (except Slovenia, that is in EU now) and Albania will be even later, Serbia and Albania will be the last. Disscussions will not start before a Kosovo settlement and stabilization. 25 years may be a fair guess.
Accession for the western Balkan states is likely to be sooner than that. Croatia, already officially a candidate, possibly as soon as 2007 the rest, all still applicants, seem likely to get candidate status early next year and to join in the 2010-2015 period. Unlike with Turkey there is little opposition to the membership of the western Balkan states, so negotiations are likely to prove relatively straightforward, joining before Turkey is certainly possible. -- Great Internet Mersenne Prime Search http://www.mersenne.org/prime.htm Brett Paul Dunbar To email me, use reply-to address